eppinggas
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Ian Alexander
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Post by eppinggas on Nov 25, 2020 9:59:00 GMT
Best odds (generally available) as follows:
Wigan 4-7
Burton 11-10
Northampton 5-4
Rochdale 11-8
Shrewsbury 6-4
Swindon 2-1
The Gas 2-1
Gillingham 3-1
Wimbledon 4-1
Then quite a big jump to MK Dons at 9-1.
So effectively a 9 horse race with Wigan clear favourites. Very tight for the next 8.
I am not promoting betting. I just find it interesting where the money is going - and the odds reflect that.
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Post by o2o2bo2ba on Nov 25, 2020 16:28:13 GMT
I thought we were a good bet at 20/1 to finish top 6?
😉
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JeffNZ
Administrator
Jimmy Morgan
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Post by JeffNZ on Nov 25, 2020 19:33:53 GMT
I put a tenner on us making the top six.
At the moment I can cash in the bet for 26p, think I might take it.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 25, 2020 19:35:31 GMT
Worth considering who of that lot we have or will beat.
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eppinggas
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Ian Alexander
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Post by eppinggas on Dec 3, 2020 10:24:43 GMT
UPDATE Dec 3rd
Wigan 4-7 (0.57) tightening 3-10 (0.3)
Burton 11-10 (1.1) tightening 10-11 (0.91)
Northampton 5-4 (1.25) unch 5-4 (1.25)
Rochdale 11-8 (1.375) widening 7-4 (1.75)
Shrewsbury 6-4 (1.5) tightening 6-5 (1.2)
Swindon 2-1 (2) widening 9-4 (2.25)
The Gas 2-1 (2) tightening 6-4 (1.5)
Gillingham 3-1 (3) widening 8-1 (8)
Wimbledon 4-1 (4) widening 8-1 (8)
Now Plymouth at 10-1 (10)
So looking more like a 7 horse race... If we lose at Wimbledon (which sadly I think we will) we'll be evens. Good luck Mr Tisdale.
(Wimbledon generally 6-5, the draw 9-4, The Gas 9-4)
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syg
Joined: June 2014
Posts: 1,008
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Post by syg on Dec 3, 2020 21:44:03 GMT
Its interesting.
The promotion prices perfect where the money goes, thus Sunderland and pompey will always be the amongst the shortest prices even if they are poor.
But who backs relegation? Ive backed us for promotion before bit wouldnt back us to go down, i suspect more city fans would back that than any other group.
Quite a small book i think.
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Post by toteend3 on Dec 4, 2020 0:25:52 GMT
PT will sort it out - Team misfiring and low on confidence - We are going to get an early goal in the next game or two - Then watch us kick on - We will not have to worry about relegation - I've only bet against my team once before - Never again! - Don't forget 2000 fans will be firing up the boys shortly and they will turn into men overnight - Covid football is not the real thing - When all you can hear is a fat old bellend effing and blinding - Players need passionate fans willing then on - Keep the faith and ' Get behind them' UTG
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harrybuckle
Always look on the bright side
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Posts: 5,416
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Post by harrybuckle on Dec 4, 2020 8:30:51 GMT
The league table never lies and stark stat to consider we have won just THree times during 2020.
Covid helped Ben stay in charge longer and I personally support Tisdale he is a superb choice.
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knowall
Joined: August 2019
Posts: 162
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Post by knowall on Dec 4, 2020 16:02:29 GMT
The league table never lies and stark stat to consider we have won just THree times during 2020. Covid helped Ben stay in charge longer and I personally support Tisdale he is a superb choice. I agree and fully support the appointment of Tisdale as a perfect fit considering his background and experience. Well done BOD, however, I can only see relegation this season due to the age/experience of the players he has inherited and the lack of finance to buy. There must be no panic if relegation happens because the record of Tisdale is such that I am sure he will achieve promotion in 2021/2 or the following year if he gets the players he needs. His record shows he knows how to win given a free reign but is he capable of managing in the Championship?, I hope he gets the chance to show us. |
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eppinggas
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Ian Alexander
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Post by eppinggas on Dec 13, 2020 11:33:19 GMT
UPDATE Dec 13th
Nov25th Dec 3rd Dec 13th
Wigan 4-7 (0.57) tightening 3-10 (0.3) Wigan widening 4-9 (0.44)
Burton 11-10 (1.1) tightening 10-11 (0.91) Burton tightening 8-11 (0.73)
North'ton 5-4 (1.25) unch 5-4 (1.25) North'ton tightening 1-1 (1.0)
Rochdale 11-8 (1.37 ) widening 7-4 (1.75) Rochdale tightening 13-10 (1.3)
Shrewsbury 6-4 (1.5) tightening 6-5 (1.2) Shrewsbury widening 6-4 (1.5)
Swindon 2-1 (2) widening 9-4 (2.25) Swindon tightening 1-1 (1.0)
The Gas 2-1 (2) tightening 6-4 (1.5) The Gas widening 11-4 (2.75)
Gillingham 3-1 (3) widening 8-1 (8) Gillingham unch 8-1 (8)
Wimbledon 4-1 (4) widening 8-1 (8) Wimbledon tightening 10-3 (3.3)
Plymouth 10-1 (10) Plymouth tightening 8-1 (8.0)
Mind you... another week like the one we've just had... and I'll have to start posting the promotion odds! UTG.
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Post by lostinspace on Dec 13, 2020 12:00:10 GMT
my view is that Wigan will not go down .. Shrews 'Dale swindle and either Burton or Northampton
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eppinggas
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Ian Alexander
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Post by eppinggas on Jan 7, 2021 15:25:21 GMT
UPDATE Jan 7th bottom 4 in bold
Nov 25th Dec 3rd Dec 13th Jan 7th 2021
Wigan 4-7 (0.57) tightening 3-10 (0.3) Wigan widening 4-9 (0.44) Wigan unch 4-9 (0.44)
Burton 11-10 (1.1) tightening 10-11 (0.91) Burton tightening 8-11 (0.73) Burton tightening 2-9 (0.22)
North'ton 5-4 (1.25) unch 5-4 (1.25) North'ton tightening 1-1 (1.0) North'ton tightening 5-6 (0.83)
Rochdale 11-8 (1.37) widening 7-4 (1.75) Rochdale tightening 13-10 (1.3) Rochdale tightening 6-5 (1.2)
Shrewsbury 6-4 (1.5) tightening 6-5 (1.2) Shrewsbury widening 6-4 (1.5) Shrewsbury widening 14-1 (14)
Swindon 2-1 (2) widening 9-4 (2.25) Swindon tightening 1-1 (1.0) Swindon tightening 8-13 (0.61)
The Gas 2-1 (2) tightening 6-4 (1.5) The Gas widening 11-4 (2.75) The Gas widening 7-2 (3.5)
Gillingham 3-1 (3) widening 8-1 (8) Gillingham unch 8-1 (8) Gillingham tightening 5-1 (5.0)
Wimbledon 4-1 (4) widening 8-1 (8) Wimbledon tightening 10-3 (3.3) Wimbledon tightening 9-5 (1.8)
Plymouth 10-1 (10) Plymouth tightening 8-1 (8.0) Plymouth widening 10-1 (10.0)
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eppinggas
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Ian Alexander
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Post by eppinggas on Jan 29, 2021 9:31:39 GMT
UPDATE Jan 29th bottom 4 in bold
Nov 25th Dec 3rd Dec 13th Jan 7th 2021 Jan 29th
Wigan 4-7 (0.57) tightening 3-10 (0.3) Wigan widening 4-9 (0.44) Wigan unch 4-9 (0.44) Wigan unch 4-9 (0.44)
Burton 11-10 (1.1) tightening 10-11 (0.91) Burton tightening 8-11 (0.73) Burton tightening 2-9 (0.22) Burton unch 2-9 (0.22)
North'ton 5-4 (1.25) unch 5-4 (1.25) North'ton tightening 1-1 (1.0) North'ton tightening 5-6 (0.83) North'ton tightening 4-6 (0.67)
Rochdale 11-8 (1.37) widening 7-4 (1.75) Rochdale tightening 13-10 (1.3) Rochdale tightening 6-5 (1.2) Rochdale tightening 8-11 (0.73)
Shrewsbury 6-4 (1.5) tightening 6-5 (1.2) Shrewsbury widening 6-4 (1.5) Shrewsbury widening 14-1 (14) Shrewsbury tightening 10-1 (10)
Swindon 2-1 (2) widening 9-4 (2.25) Swindon tightening 1-1 (1.0) Swindon tightening 8-13 (0.61) Swindon tightening 4-6 (0.67)
The Gas 2-1 (2) tightening 6-4 (1.5) The Gas widening 11-4 (2.75) The Gas widening 7-2 (3.5) The Gas tightening 9-4 (2.25)
Gillingham 3-1 (3) widening 8-1 (8) Gillingham unch 8-1 (8) Gillingham tightening 5-1 (5.0) Gillingham widening 12-1 (12.0)
Wimbledon 4-1 (4) widening 8-1 (8) Wimbledon tightening 10-3 (3.3) Wimbledon tightening 9-5 (1.8) Wimbledon tightening 11-10 (1.1)
Plymouth 10-1 (10) Plymouth tightening 8-1 (8.0) Plymouth widening 10-1 (10.0) Plymouth widening 20-1 (20.0)
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irishrover
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Post by irishrover on Jan 29, 2021 10:27:49 GMT
I know absolutely nothing about betting but that list would seem to imply that the bookies at least have us in a kind of 2nd tier of relegation candidates rather than the 1st tier.
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eppinggas
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Ian Alexander
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Post by eppinggas on Jan 29, 2021 11:19:23 GMT
From the original 9 (10 with Plymouth) "in the race"... Shrews, Gills and Janners look to be clear of trouble.
Then a clear 6 at around evens or odds-on: Wigan, N'ton, Burton all consistently bottom third. Add to that Rochdale, Wombles and Swindle.
And then The Gas, kind of on our own.
IMHO - it would take a really disastrous run to trouble the relegation slots. With key players back, I think we'll be OK.
But I'd take a guaranteed 20th now. UTG.
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bluetornados
Predictions League
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Posts: 12,227
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Post by bluetornados on Jan 29, 2021 14:51:06 GMT
At the start of the season i got Rovers to get promotion at 66-1 from William Hill, i pray every night.
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irishrover
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Post by irishrover on Jan 30, 2021 1:57:20 GMT
At the start of the season i got Rovers to get promotion at 66-1 from William Hill, i pray every night. I think that's pretty much all you have left to hope on at this stage! |
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Rex
Predictions League
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Posts: 3,287
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Post by Rex on Jan 30, 2021 7:50:09 GMT
I know absolutely nothing about betting but that list would seem to imply that the bookies at least have us in a kind of 2nd tier of relegation candidates rather than the 1st tier. It mean the punters, not the bookies, have us there. The odds reflect the amount of money staked, rather than an opinion. If you were to walk into a bookies tomorrow and place a million pound bet on Rovers to be relegated, then the odds would shorten dramatically as the bookie you placed the bet with, would try and cover any potential losses by betting on the same outcome with other bookies, who would, in turn, do the same. |
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